Janes

Janes analysts Elliot Chapman and Suraj Ganesan join Harry Kemsley to share their insight and analysis on the situation that has escalated in Israel and Lebanon. They explore the impact of the conflict on Israel and Hizbullah resources and the geopolitical and strategic implications emerging from the displacement of civilians. Elliot and Suraj also explore how open-source intelligence accelerates their understanding of the situation and the tradecraft they follow to verify and validate these sources.

Suraj Ganesan is a Research Analyst at the Middle East and North Africa desk at Janes. His work focusses on Syria and Lebanon.

Suraj Ganesan

Research Analyst for Middle East and North Africa, Janes

Elliot Chapman is a Research Analyst, in the Middle East and North Africa team. Elliot joined Janes' Central Analysis Team in December 2020 before helping to stand up Janes Country Intelligence, beginning in August 2021. Before working at Janes Elliot worked for a political risk advisory firm focused on emerging markets. Prior to this Elliot worked as a researcher and producer for for military technology events. Elliot's work involves closely monitoring and analysis of Israeli security operations and Palestinian militant activity. Elliot also served in the British Army Reserves.

Elliot Chapman

Research Analyst, Middle East and North Africa team

The situation in Israel - Lebanon

Rachel Minyoung Lee, Senior Fellow for the Stimson Center’s Korea Program and 38 North and Cristina Varriale, Janes lead analyst - APAC join Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett to explore the closed environment of North Korea, its changing strategic allegiances and what the reported deployment of North Korea troops to Russia means for global stability.

Rachel Minyoung Lee is a Senior Fellow for the Stimson Center’s Korea Program and 38 North, where she focuses on North Korea’s domestic developments and foreign policy. She is also co-chair of the Steering Committee for the North Korea Economic Forum at the George Washington Institute for Korean Studies.
 
Lee was a North Korean propaganda analyst with Open Source Enterprise in the US government from 2000 to 2019. During that time, she wrote on a broad range of North Korean issues, from leadership, domestic politics and economy, and foreign policy, to social and cultural developments. As Analysis Team Lead, Lee headed a team of collection officers and analysts to collect on, research, and analyse North and South Korean issues with implications for Pyongyang’s regime stability and regional security

Rachel Minyoung Lee

Senior Fellow for the Stimson Center’s Korea Program and 38 North

Cristina Varriale is Janes lead analyst on the APAC Country Intelligence team. Before joining Janes in April 2022, Cristina spent six years in the Proliferation and the Nuclear Policy Team at the RUSI think tank, culminating in a short period as acting director. Prior to RUSI, she worked with the International Center for Security Analysis at the Policy Institute, Kings College, London. Her work primarily focuses on researching and analysing North Korea's domestic security and stability, the country's WMD programs, foreign relationships and the implications for securities. 

Cristina Varriale

Janes lead analyst, APAC

North Korea - The hardest OSINT environment?

With the situation in Israel and Lebanon continuing to evolve, Janes analysts Elliot Chapman and Suraj Ganesan return to join Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett to provide an update on the situation on the ground and the strategic implications of the conflict for regional security.

Elliot Chapman is a Research Analyst, in the Middle East and North Africa team. Elliot joined Janes' Central Analysis Team in December 2020 before helping to stand up Janes Country Intelligence, beginning in August 2021. Before working at Janes Elliot worked for a political risk advisory firm focused on emerging markets. Prior to this Elliot worked as a researcher and producer for for military technology events. Elliot's work involves closely monitoring and analysis of Israeli security operations and Palestinian militant activity.

The situation in Israel - Lebanon part two

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett take a closer look on the increasing use and threat of misinformation and disinformation. They explore the differences between the two and why now more than ever it is important for analysts to use tradecraft to overcome these threats to ensure analysis is formed on truth and intelligence can be trusted.

Sean Corbett retired from the Royal Air Force in September 2018 after a 30-year career as a professional intelligence officer, where he reached the pinnacle of his profession. He then established a Defence, Security and Intelligence Directorate within a 'new space' geospatial intelligence company, Earth-i, where he advanced innovative Al applications to earth observation data in support of the defence and security sector, and instigated the concept of 'intelligence as a service', leveraging a wide spectrum of publicly available information to answer challenging questions for the community. In October 2019, he set up his own business as a consultant specialising in the provision of strategic advice, commercial intelligence, the space sector, and the optimisation of organisational leadership and change management.

Sean Corbett

AVM (ret’d) Sean Corbett CB MBE MA, RAF

The threat of misinformation and disinformation

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by IBM master inventor Martin Keene to explore the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on open-source intelligence. The panel discusses how AI can support tradecraft, the future of AI-driven predictive analytics, and why humans are critical in evaluating AI analysis.

Martin is a Master Inventor at IBM with over 400 issued patents,  6 million+ views on the IBM Technology YouTube channel where he presents on AI and data science. Martin also produces scripts, presents and produces video courses for IBM Training. He has recently spoken at SHRM 2024 "What Executives Need To Know About Generative AI" and SPADE 2024 "Generative AI Use Cases Across Defense Domains" and has recently been recognised at TEC North Carolina Inventor Of The Year and 
achieved NEXT TECH award for Tech + Innovation.

Martin Keen

NC Inventor Of The Year with 400 patents | Presents on AI on the IBM Technology YouTube channel | IBM Training

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by IBM master inventor Martin Keene to explore the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on open-source intelligence. The panel discusses how AI can support tradecraft, the future of AI-driven predictive analytics, and why humans are critical in evaluating AI analysis.  

Artificial Intelligence in Tradecraft

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined in this episode by Janes analysts Puja Banerjee, Sarbhanu Nath and Shivani Gayakwad to discuss the key events relating to the ongoing political instability in Bangladesh.Following weeks of protests and violence, the country is currently being run by an interim government following the resignation of Sheikh Hasina on 5th August. The panel discuss how this instability will impact the country and it's international neighbours and allies. They also share how open-source intelligence provides indicators for predictive assessments of the ongoing situation.

Sarbhanu Nath is a research analyst in the Janes Country Intelligence APAC team. His work includes researching, analysing, and compiling information on the Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, Infrastructure (PMESII) profiles of countries in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. Additionally, he maintains profiles on Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear (CBRN) weapons programmes of countries in the APAC region.

Sarbhanu Nath

Research analyst, JCIN, APAC, Janes

Shivani Gayakwad is a Senior Analyst for the Asia Pacific regional desk of the Janes Country Intelligence department and joined the team in January 2022. She primarily cover countries in South Asia with a focus on Afghanistan, Bangladesh and Pakistan. Shivani has a master's degree in International Relations from Kings College London and a bachelor's degree in political science and economics from Mumbai University in India

Shivani Gayakwad

Senior analyst, Asia Pacific region, Janes

Puja Banerjee is the Manager of the Geopolitical Risk Events that is involved in tracking and monitoring Terrorism and Insurgency, Serious and Organised crime, Protests and Riots, and other Government & Political events and is part of Janes' current Intelligence offering.

Puja holds a Master's Degree in International Relations and Political Science from Jadavpur University in Kolkata, West Bengal. She has about 10 years of experience in analysing risk events.
In her previous organisation, she spearheaded several projects, including the semiconductor events project, Maritime Piracy project, and established processes for AI-generated events, among others.

Puja Banerjee

Manager of geopolitical risk events, Janes

Political instability in Bangladesh

In this podcast Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by Janes analysts Elliot Chapman, James Trigg, Anant Venkatesh and Suraj Ganesan in response to recent events and growing tensions in the Middle East and Levant. The panel provide context on the fast-moving situation in the region and discuss how open-source intelligence can support predictive intelligence to understand the prospect of serious escalations in the conflict.

Anant Venkatesh is the Senior Research Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa at Janes covering Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia.

Anant Venkatesh

Senior Research Analyst for MENA, Janes

James Trigg is a Senior Research Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa Country Intelligence team at Janes. He previously worked in an intelligence support role with a local constabulary. He holds a master’s degree in international conflict, focused on the dynamics of genocide and other crimes against humanity.

James Trigg

Senior Research Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa Country Intelligence team at Janes

Rising tensions in the Middle East

Janes delivers validated open-source defence intelligence across four core capability areas threat, equipment, defence industry and country that are aligned with workflows across the defence industry, national security and government.

The situation in Israel - Lebanon

DESCRIPTION

Today's Host

Harry Kemsley

Today's Guests

Suraj Ganesan

Elliot Chapman

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